Tuesday, March 15, 2005

Expanding blogosphere

I'm fascinated by trend analysis.

David Sifry, the founder of Technorati has been trying to put some numbers on the apparent growth of the world of blogs or "blogosphere".

Well, the universe is expanding at an increasing pace:

"Just as it is important to note the increased growth in the number of weblogs out there, it is as or more important to see if blogging is a fad or if people are blogging at a sustained rate. The chart below shows that posting volume has been growing".

Of course, not all are equal in the blogosphere, which is subject to a "power law" as analyst Clay Shirky has described. The power law refers to the emergence of an "A-list, a small set of webloggers who account for a majority of the traffic in the weblog world".

"Though there are more new bloggers and more new readers every day, most of the new readers are adding to the traffic of the top few blogs, while most new blogs are getting below average traffic, a gap that will grow as the weblog world does. It's not impossible to launch a good new blog and become widely read, but it's harder than it was last year, and it will be harder still next year".

Shirky's analysis makes for eye-opening reading.


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posted by Michel-Adrien at 7:03 pm


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